Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.046193 0.050276 0.054417 0.058924 0.063683 0.068552 0.073904
2025-01-12 0.039319 0.045254 0.051498 0.058528 0.066198 0.074287 0.083435
2025-01-19 0.034880 0.042217 0.050189 0.059435 0.069801 0.081004 0.093969
2025-01-26 0.030474 0.038719 0.047960 0.058972 0.071626 0.085604 0.102103
2025-02-02 0.027296 0.036275 0.046627 0.059265 0.074103 0.090802 0.110844
2025-02-09 0.025105 0.034756 0.046167 0.060399 0.077421 0.096882 0.120567
2025-02-16 0.023922 0.034320 0.046885 0.062842 0.082223 0.104671 0.132301
2025-02-23 0.020737 0.031113 0.043996 0.060720 0.081410 0.105745 0.136096
2025-03-02 0.018594 0.029066 0.042392 0.060029 0.082203 0.108629 0.141961
2025-03-09 0.016819 0.027363 0.041097 0.059612 0.083239 0.111739 0.148053
2025-03-16 0.016205 0.027183 0.041742 0.061639 0.087311 0.118552 0.158655
2025-03-23 0.015308 0.026534 0.041706 0.062739 0.090188 0.123895 0.167489
2025-03-30 0.014325 0.025725 0.041444 0.063567 0.092782 0.128992 0.176185
2025-04-06 0.012998 0.024313 0.040279 0.063132 0.093710 0.131998 0.182317
2025-04-13 0.012229 0.023683 0.040161 0.064078 0.096425 0.137265 0.191300
2025-04-20 0.011094 0.022397 0.039036 0.063585 0.097199 0.140043 0.197163
2025-04-27 0.010288 0.021569 0.038520 0.063891 0.099007 0.144134 0.204692
2025-05-04 0.009790 0.021202 0.038651 0.065083 0.101998 0.149755 0.214186
2025-05-11 0.009686 0.021480 0.039745 0.067655 0.106881 0.157872 0.226927
2025-05-18 0.008405 0.019648 0.037549 0.065420 0.105130 0.157273 0.228455
2025-05-25 0.007590 0.018557 0.036432 0.064692 0.105406 0.159305 0.233355
2025-06-01 0.006907 0.017644 0.035541 0.064252 0.106049 0.161802 0.238851
2025-06-08 0.006803 0.017805 0.036369 0.066387 0.110329 0.169181 0.250767